Iran Threatens Retaliation: Strikes on US Bases if Attacked

The main point is that Iran has warned it will strike US bases in the region if it is attacked. This warning comes amidst heightened tensions between the two countries.

For the UPSC Prelims, remember that Iran has warned of striking US bases if attacked, and this is happening during a time of high tension. Also, the exact locations of the potential US targets were not specified in the news report.

The tensions have deep roots, including the 1953 Iranian coup d'état, where the US and UK overthrew Prime Minister Mohammad Mosaddegh and reinstated the Shah. This event fueled anti-American sentiment in Iran.

Recent developments include incidents involving attacks on oil tankers and drone strikes, which have been attributed to Iran or its proxies. The US maintains a significant military presence in the region to deter Iranian aggression.

Iran's threat can be seen as an attempt to deter the US from attacking. Deterrence theory suggests that a state can prevent an attack by credibly threatening retaliation, making the cost of aggression too high for the attacker.

Iran's threat and the US military presence highlight the ongoing struggle for regional dominance. This situation can disrupt the existing balance of power, potentially leading to further instability or a realignment of alliances.

A military conflict could have severe consequences, including widespread regional instability, humanitarian crises, and economic disruption. It could also escalate into a larger conflict involving other regional and global powers. A diplomatic solution is preferable.

Under international law, the use of force is generally prohibited except in cases of self-defense or when authorized by the UN Security Council. Any strike by either Iran or the US would need to be justified under these principles.

Increased tensions can lead to greater instability and insecurity, affecting daily life, economic opportunities, and overall well-being. There could be increased displacement and humanitarian crises.

Proxy warfare involves supporting opposing sides in a conflict without direct military engagement. The US and Iran have been accused of engaging in proxy wars in the Middle East, supporting different factions in conflicts like the war in Yemen.