For this article:

16 Mar 2026·Source: The Hindu
6 min
AM
Anshul Mann
|International
International RelationsPolity & GovernanceNEWS

Global Nuclear Order at Risk: Iran-Israel Double Standard Fuels Proliferation Concerns

The perceived double standard in nuclear policy towards Iran and Israel threatens global non-proliferation efforts.

UPSC-PrelimsUPSC-Mains

Quick Revision

1.

The international community applies a double standard in treating Iran's and Israel's nuclear programs.

2.

Iran is a signatory to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and faces strict scrutiny from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).

3.

Israel is not an NPT signatory and maintains an undeclared nuclear arsenal without similar international pressure.

4.

This disparity may incentivize other nations to pursue nuclear weapons.

5.

The NPT, which entered into force in 1970, is based on three pillars: non-proliferation, disarmament, and peaceful use of nuclear energy.

6.

The US has historically tolerated Israel's undeclared nuclear program while focusing on preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons.

7.

Experts warn that the double standard undermines the NPT and increases regional instability, particularly in West Asia.

Visual Insights

Iran Nuclear Program & Regional Escalation: Key Events (2002-2026)

This timeline illustrates the critical developments in Iran's nuclear program, international diplomatic efforts, and the recent escalation of conflict in West Asia, highlighting the journey from initial proliferation concerns to the current regional war.

The current crisis in West Asia, marked by direct military confrontation and nuclear proliferation concerns, is the culmination of decades of mistrust, diplomatic failures, and unilateral actions surrounding Iran's nuclear program. The breakdown of the JCPOA and the international community's 'double standard' towards Iran and Israel have fueled this instability.

  • 2002Discovery of undeclared uranium enrichment and heavy water plutonium production sites in Iran, raising international suspicions.
  • 2005IAEA concluded Iran was non-compliant with its safeguards obligations, referring the matter to the UN Security Council.
  • 2006UNSC adopted Resolution 1696, legally binding Iran to suspend all uranium enrichment activities.
  • 2011-2015Cumulative international sanctions led to a 20% decline in Iran's economy and 20% unemployment.
  • 2015Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) signed, with Iran agreeing to nuclear limits in exchange for sanctions relief. Endorsed by UNSC Resolution 2231.
  • 2018US withdrew from JCPOA and reimposed sanctions, leading Iran to gradually violate the deal's nuclear restrictions.
  • Late 2023-2024Hamas and Hezbollah, supported by IRGC, intensified attacks against Israel.
  • October 2024Iran launched 180 ballistic missiles directly at Israel, a significant escalation.
  • Summer 2025Iran accumulated over 440 kilograms of 60% enriched uranium (HEU), close to weapons-grade. IAEA reported Iran violating non-proliferation obligations.
  • June 2025US and Israel launched coordinated attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities (Fordow, Isfahan, Natanz). Iran expelled IAEA inspectors from sensitive sites.
  • February 28, 2026US-Israel launched large-scale attacks on Iran, killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and dozens of senior IRGC officers.
  • March 2026Iran retaliated with widespread missile and drone attacks on Israel, US military sites, and Gulf states, effectively closing the Strait of Hormuz, leading to a full regional war and global energy crisis.
  • March 2026UNSC condemned Iran's 'egregious attacks' against its neighbors (13-0 vote, Russia and China abstained).
  • March 2026IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi stated the agency could not verify if Iran had suspended all enrichment activities or the size of its uranium stockpile, but did not see a 'structured program to make a nuclear weapon'.

West Asia: Iran-Israel Conflict & Nuclear Concerns

This map highlights the key countries (Iran, Israel) and strategic locations (Strait of Hormuz, Iranian nuclear sites) central to the ongoing nuclear proliferation concerns and regional conflict in West Asia.

Loading interactive map...

📍Iran📍Israel📍Strait of Hormuz📍Natanz, Iran📍Fordow, Iran📍Isfahan, Iran

Mains & Interview Focus

Don't miss it!

The global nuclear non-proliferation regime faces a profound crisis of legitimacy, fundamentally undermined by the persistent double standard in how the international community addresses nuclear programs. This article correctly identifies the disparate treatment of Iran and Israel as a critical fault line. Iran, a signatory to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), endures rigorous scrutiny from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), with its enrichment levels and centrifuge numbers meticulously tracked.

Conversely, Israel maintains an undeclared nuclear arsenal, developed outside the NPT framework, yet faces minimal international pressure or oversight. This glaring inconsistency, as highlighted by experts like Sharon Squassoni, creates a dangerous precedent. It effectively communicates that adherence to international norms is optional for some, while others are subjected to punitive measures for perceived non-compliance, even when their programs are ostensibly peaceful. Such a policy fosters deep resentment and incentivizes other states to pursue nuclear weapons as a deterrent, rather than relying on a system they perceive as inherently unfair.

The NPT, which entered into force in 1970, rests on three pillars: non-proliferation, disarmament, and peaceful use. The failure of nuclear-weapon states to make tangible progress on disarmament, coupled with selective enforcement of non-proliferation, erodes the treaty's moral authority. Vipin Narang's observation that the double standard could push countries to pursue nukes is not hyperbole; it reflects a rational calculation by states seeking security in a volatile world.

Washington's historical tolerance of Israel's nuclear status, while simultaneously leading efforts to curb Iran's program, is a strategic miscalculation with long-term consequences. This approach, rooted in regional geopolitical considerations, inadvertently weakens the very non-proliferation architecture it purports to uphold. A credible global order demands consistent application of rules, regardless of political expediency.

To restore faith in the NPT, a more equitable and consistent approach is imperative. This would involve either bringing all nuclear-capable states under a universal verification regime or acknowledging the inherent flaws in a system that permits selective nuclear exceptionalism. Without such a shift, the risk of a cascade of proliferation, particularly in volatile regions like West Asia, will only intensify, making the world a far more dangerous place.

Exam Angles

1.

GS Paper 2: International Relations - Geopolitics of West Asia, Nuclear Proliferation, Role of International Institutions (IAEA, UNSC), US Foreign Policy, India's energy security.

2.

GS Paper 3: Economy - Impact of global energy shocks on India, supply chain disruptions, crude oil prices.

3.

GS Paper 3: Security - Nuclear terrorism risks, regional conflicts and their global implications.

View Detailed Summary

Summary

The world has different rules for countries wanting nuclear weapons. Iran is closely watched, but Israel has nuclear weapons without much international pressure. This unfairness makes other countries think they also need nukes for their safety, which could make the world a more dangerous place.

संयुक्त राज्य अमेरिका और इज़राइल ने 28 फरवरी को ईरान पर बड़े पैमाने पर हमले किए, जिसमें ईरान के सर्वोच्च नेता अयातुल्ला अली खामेनेई की हत्या कर दी गई। ये हमले 24 साल से चले आ रहे तेहरान के परमाणु कार्यक्रम को लेकर गतिरोध को हल करने के उद्देश्य से किए गए थे, लेकिन विशेषज्ञों ने चेतावनी दी है कि इससे ईरान गुप्त परमाणु बम बनाने की ओर बढ़ सकता है। ईरान ने अपने परमाणु कार्यक्रम को हमेशा नागरिक उद्देश्यों के लिए बताया है, लेकिन 2002 में दो अघोषित स्थलों (यूरेनियम संवर्धन और भारी जल प्लूटोनियम उत्पादन के लिए) की खोज के बाद से इस पर गहरा संदेह रहा है।

2015 के परमाणु समझौते (JCPOA) ने ईरान पर कड़ी सीमाएं और गहन निरीक्षण लगाए थे, लेकिन 2018 में डोनाल्ड ट्रंप के समझौते से बाहर निकलने के बाद, ईरान ने संवर्धन और कार्यक्रम के अन्य पहलुओं पर अपना काम तेज कर दिया। पिछले साल गर्मियों तक, ईरान ने 60% शुद्धता वाले 440 किलोग्राम अत्यधिक समृद्ध यूरेनियम (HEU) का भंडार बना लिया था, जो 10 से अधिक परमाणु हथियार बनाने के लिए पर्याप्त है। इस भंडार की चिंता जून 2025 में हुए अमेरिकी-इजरायली हमलों का मुख्य कारण थी, जिसमें अमेरिका ने 'ऑपरेशन मिडनाइट हैमर' के तहत ईरान के परमाणु स्थलों पर बंकर-बस्टिंग बम गिराए थे। हालांकि ट्रंप ने कार्यक्रम को 'नष्ट' करने का दावा किया था, लेकिन इस्फ़हान और नटान्ज़ में पहाड़ों के नीचे गहरी सुरंगों में स्थित स्थल नष्ट नहीं हो सके। हमलों के जवाब में, ईरान ने संयुक्त राष्ट्र के निरीक्षकों को IAEA से संवेदनशील स्थलों से बाहर कर दिया, जिससे IAEA 440 किलोग्राम HEU भंडार और इन सुरंगों में चल रही गतिविधियों का पता नहीं लगा सका।

हमलों के बाद, ईरान ने अमेरिकी सैन्य सुविधाओं के साथ-साथ खाड़ी देशों में ऊर्जा और नागरिक बुनियादी ढांचे को निशाना बनाकर जवाबी कार्रवाई की। लेबनान में हिजबुल्लाह ने इज़राइल पर रॉकेट दागे, जिसके जवाब में इज़राइल ने लेबनान में हमले तेज कर दिए। अब तक 1,800 से अधिक लोग मारे जा चुके हैं, जिनमें 8 अमेरिकी सैनिक और एक ईरानी प्राथमिक विद्यालय पर कथित अमेरिकी हमले में मारे गए कम से कम 175 छात्र शामिल हैं। ईरान के नए सर्वोच्च नेता के रूप में 8 मार्च को अली खामेनेई के बेटे, मोज्तबा खामेनेई को नियुक्त किया गया। ईरान द्वारा होर्मुज जलडमरूमध्य को प्रभावी ढंग से बंद करने के कारण वैश्विक ऊर्जा संकट पैदा हो गया है, जिससे अंतर्राष्ट्रीय ऊर्जा एजेंसी को अपने रणनीतिक भंडार से चार सौ मिलियन बैरल तेल जारी करना पड़ा। तेल की कीमतें 9 मार्च को लगभग 120 डॉलर प्रति बैरल तक पहुंच गईं।

विशेषज्ञों का मानना है कि इन हमलों से ईरान को परमाणु हथियार बनाने की दिशा में धकेला जा सकता है, खासकर यदि शासन परिवर्तन का लक्ष्य विफल रहता है। यदि ईरान में शासन का पतन होता है या गृहयुद्ध छिड़ जाता है, तो HEU भंडार का भाग्य एक बड़ी वैश्विक समस्या बन जाएगा, जिससे परमाणु आतंकवाद का जोखिम बढ़ जाएगा। मध्य पूर्व में अस्थिरता बढ़ने से वैश्विक तेल आपूर्ति श्रृंखलाएं और ऊर्जा कीमतें सीधे प्रभावित होती हैं, जिसका भारत की आर्थिक स्थिरता और ऊर्जा सुरक्षा पर महत्वपूर्ण प्रभाव पड़ता है। यह घटनाक्रम UPSC GS पेपर 2 (अंतर्राष्ट्रीय संबंध) और GS पेपर 3 (अर्थव्यवस्था, सुरक्षा) के लिए प्रासंगिक है।

Background

ईरान ने कम से कम 1957 से परमाणु कार्यक्रम चलाया है, जिसमें 1980 के दशक के अंत में इराक के साथ युद्ध के दौरान परमाणु हथियार विकसित करने का निर्णय लिया गया था। 1990 के दशक में चीन और रूस के साथ समझौतों के माध्यम से इस कार्यक्रम को समर्थन मिला। 2002 में, ईरानी असंतुष्ट समूहों ने दो गुप्त परमाणु स्थलों का खुलासा किया, जिसके बाद 2003 में ईरान के परमाणु कार्यक्रम को रोकने के लिए गहन राजनयिक प्रयास शुरू हुए। ईरान ने परमाणु ऊर्जा के लिए सेंट्रीफ्यूज रखने पर जोर देते हुए एक समझौते पर सहमति व्यक्त की, लेकिन अंतर्राष्ट्रीय परमाणु ऊर्जा एजेंसी (IAEA) को पारदर्शी रिपोर्टिंग की अपनी प्रतिबद्धता का पालन नहीं किया। इसके परिणामस्वरूप 2004 में IAEA द्वारा फटकार लगाई गई और 2005 में गैर-अनुपालन पाया गया, जिससे संयुक्त राष्ट्र सुरक्षा परिषद (UNSC) को मामला भेजा गया। 2006 में, UNSC ने संकल्प 1696 अपनाया, जिसमें ईरान से यूरेनियम संवर्धन कार्यक्रम को निलंबित करने का कानूनी रूप से बाध्यकारी आह्वान किया गया। 2011 और 2015 के बीच, अंतर्राष्ट्रीय प्रतिबंधों के संचयी प्रभावों के कारण ईरान की अर्थव्यवस्था में 20% की गिरावट आई और बेरोजगारी 20% तक बढ़ गई। 2013 में, हसन रूहानी ने प्रतिबंधों को हटाने और अर्थव्यवस्था को बहाल करने के वादे पर ईरान का राष्ट्रपति चुनाव जीता। इन प्रयासों के परिणामस्वरूप 2015 में संयुक्त व्यापक कार्य योजना (JCPOA) को अपनाया गया, जिसके तहत ईरान को 15 वर्षों के लिए अपने समृद्ध यूरेनियम के स्टॉकपाइल को 98% तक कम करना था और IAEA को सुविधाओं तक पहुंच प्रदान करनी थी।

Latest Developments

2018 में, डोनाल्ड ट्रंप प्रशासन ने JCPOA से संयुक्त राज्य अमेरिका को वापस ले लिया और ईरान पर प्रतिबंधों को फिर से लागू करना शुरू कर दिया, जिससे 'अधिकतम दबाव' अभियान शुरू हुआ। इसके जवाब में, ईरान ने परमाणु कार्यक्रम पर JCPOA के प्रतिबंधों का उल्लंघन करना शुरू कर दिया। अप्रैल 2019 में, संयुक्त राज्य अमेरिका ने इस्लामिक रिवोल्यूशनरी गार्ड कॉर्प्स (IRGC) को एक आतंकवादी संगठन नामित किया। दिसंबर 2019 में, अमेरिका ने ईरान के कुद्स फोर्स के कमांडर कासिम सुलेमानी को बगदाद में एक हवाई हमले में मार गिराया, जिसके जवाब में ईरान ने घोषणा की कि वह परमाणु समझौते के तहत प्रतिबंधों का पालन नहीं करेगा। अक्टूबर 2023 में इजरायल और ईरान समर्थित फिलिस्तीनी आतंकवादी समूह हमास के बीच युद्ध छिड़ने से ईरान और इजरायल के बीच तनाव बढ़ गया, जिससे क्षेत्रीय प्रॉक्सी बलों द्वारा हमले तेज हो गए। 2024 में, इजरायल और ईरान का टकराव अप्रत्यक्ष, प्रॉक्सी-आधारित शत्रुता से प्रत्यक्ष हमलों में बदल गया। जून 2025 में, IAEA ने घोषणा की कि ईरान 20 वर्षों में पहली बार अपने अप्रसार दायित्वों का उल्लंघन कर रहा था, जिसके बाद इजरायल ने ईरान पर एकतरफा सैन्य हमला किया। ट्रंप प्रशासन ने 2025 में ईरान के परमाणु कार्यक्रम पर बातचीत फिर से शुरू की, लेकिन इजरायल ने इसका कड़ा विरोध किया।

Sources & Further Reading

Frequently Asked Questions

1. Why is the perceived "double standard" in nuclear policy towards Iran and Israel considered a significant threat to global non-proliferation efforts, and which international treaty is most directly undermined by this?

The perceived double standard is a major threat because it undermines the credibility and effectiveness of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). When some nations (like Israel) maintain undeclared nuclear arsenals without international pressure, while others (like Iran) face strict scrutiny despite being NPT signatories, it creates a powerful incentive for non-nuclear states to pursue nuclear weapons. This disparity suggests that adherence to non-proliferation norms is selectively enforced, weakening the entire global framework.

Exam Tip

Remember that the NPT is the cornerstone of global non-proliferation. Any perceived double standard directly challenges its foundational principles.

2. What is the key difference in international obligations between Iran and Israel regarding their nuclear programs, particularly concerning the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)?

The fundamental difference lies in their NPT signatory status.

  • Iran: Is a signatory to the NPT. This means it is legally obligated not to develop nuclear weapons and must submit its nuclear facilities to safeguards and inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).
  • Israel: Is not an NPT signatory. Consequently, it is not bound by NPT's non-proliferation obligations and does not face similar international pressure or IAEA scrutiny over its undeclared nuclear arsenal.

Exam Tip

UPSC often tests comparisons. Remember: Iran = NPT signatory, IAEA scrutiny; Israel = NOT NPT signatory, no IAEA scrutiny for its undeclared arsenal. This distinction is crucial.

3. How did the United States' withdrawal from the JCPOA in 2018 specifically contribute to Iran's acceleration of its nuclear program, and what was the immediate response from Iran?

The US withdrawal from the JCPOA (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action) in 2018, followed by the re-imposition of sanctions under a 'maximum pressure' campaign, directly led to Iran's decision to violate the agreement's restrictions.

  • Violation of Limits: Iran responded by gradually reducing its compliance with the JCPOA, including increasing uranium enrichment levels beyond the agreed limits (reaching 60% purity).
  • Program Acceleration: It also accelerated other aspects of its nuclear program that were previously constrained by the deal.
  • Reduced Inspection: This move reduced the international community's ability to monitor Iran's nuclear activities as strictly as before.

Exam Tip

Understand the cause-and-effect: US withdrawal -> Sanctions -> Iran's non-compliance/acceleration. This sequence is key for Mains answers on international relations.

4. From India's perspective, what are the potential challenges and opportunities presented by the ongoing nuclear standoff between Iran and the international community, especially concerning the non-proliferation regime?

India navigates a complex path, balancing its energy needs, strategic partnerships, and commitment to non-proliferation.

  • Challenges: The instability in the Gulf region due to the standoff can impact India's energy security (as Iran is a major oil producer) and the safety of its diaspora. A breakdown of the NPT framework due to double standards could also encourage proliferation in India's neighborhood, posing security risks.
  • Opportunities: India, being a responsible nuclear power outside the NPT, can advocate for a universal, non-discriminatory, and verifiable non-proliferation regime. It can also leverage its diplomatic ties with both Iran and Western powers to de-escalate tensions and promote dialogue, potentially playing a mediating role.

Exam Tip

When discussing India's stance on international issues, always consider both the challenges (e.g., energy, security) and opportunities (e.g., diplomatic role, advocating for principles).

5. What are the three core pillars of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), which entered into force in 1970, and how do they relate to the current concerns about Iran's nuclear program?

The NPT, which became effective in 1970, is built upon three fundamental pillars:

  • Non-proliferation: Preventing the spread of nuclear weapons and weapons technology. Concerns about Iran's program directly challenge this pillar, especially after its enrichment activities.
  • Disarmament: Promoting the goal of achieving nuclear disarmament by nuclear-weapon states. The double standard applied to Israel undermines this pillar, as it suggests a lack of commitment from existing nuclear powers to disarm.
  • Peaceful Use of Nuclear Energy: Ensuring the right of all states to develop nuclear energy for peaceful purposes, under international safeguards. Iran consistently asserts its program is for peaceful purposes, but the discovery of undeclared sites raised doubts, impacting this pillar's integrity.

Exam Tip

For Prelims, remember the "3 Ps" or "3 Ds" for NPT pillars: Prevention (non-proliferation), Pursuit (disarmament), and Peaceful use. For Mains, link each pillar to current events.

6. What is the historical context behind Iran's nuclear program, particularly its decision to pursue nuclear weapons in the 1980s, and how did international revelations in 2002 change the global perception of its program?

Iran's nuclear program dates back to at least 1957. The decision to actively develop nuclear weapons was made in the late 1980s during its war with Iraq, seeking a strategic deterrent.

  • Early Support: The program received support through agreements with China and Russia in the 1990s.
  • 2002 Revelations: In 2002, Iranian dissident groups exposed two previously undeclared nuclear sites (for uranium enrichment and heavy water plutonium production). This revelation fundamentally changed the international community's perception, raising serious doubts about Iran's claims of a purely civilian program and triggering intense diplomatic efforts to halt its development.

Exam Tip

Focus on key turning points like the 1980s decision (due to Iraq war) and the 2002 revelations, as these are critical for understanding the program's trajectory and international response.

Practice Questions (MCQs)

1. Consider the following statements regarding Iran's nuclear program and recent developments: 1. Iran had accumulated a stockpile of over 440kg of highly enriched uranium (HEU) of 60% purity by last summer (2025). 2. The US-Israeli strikes in February 2026 successfully obliterated Iran's deep underground nuclear sites in Isfahan and Natanz. 3. Following the recent attacks, Iran excluded UN inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) from sensitive sites. Which of the statements given above is/are correct?

  • A.1 only
  • B.1 and 3 only
  • C.2 and 3 only
  • D.1, 2 and 3
Show Answer

Answer: B

Statement 1 is CORRECT: By last summer (2025), Iran had produced a stockpile of just over 440kg of highly enriched uranium (HEU) of 60% purity, which is technically a relatively easy step to reach 90% weapons-grade uranium. This amount would be enough to make more than 10 warheads. Statement 2 is INCORRECT: While the bombs wreaked extensive damage, deep underground sites, burrowed beneath mountains in Isfahan and Natanz, could not be destroyed. Trump's claim of 'obliterating' the program was not true. Statement 3 is CORRECT: In response to the attacks, Iran excluded UN inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) from those and other sensitive sites, leading the watchdog to lose track of the HEU stockpile and activities in the deep tunnels.

2. Which of the following statements correctly describes the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA)? 1. It required Iran to reduce its stockpile of enriched uranium by 98 percent for fifteen years. 2. It allowed for the immediate reinstatement of sanctions if the IAEA confirmed violations. 3. The United States withdrew from the JCPOA in 2018, citing Iran's ballistic missile program and regional ambitions. Select the correct answer using the code given below:

  • A.1 and 2 only
  • B.2 and 3 only
  • C.1 and 3 only
  • D.1, 2 and 3
Show Answer

Answer: D

Statement 1 is CORRECT: The JCPOA required Iran to reduce its stockpile of enriched uranium by 98 percent for fifteen years, and cut the number of operating centrifuges by two-thirds for ten years. Statement 2 is CORRECT: The agreement stipulated that if the IAEA confirmed violations, the JCPOA allowed for the immediate reinstatement of sanctions. Statement 3 is CORRECT: In 2018, the Trump administration withdrew the United States from the agreement, pledging to seek a more comprehensive deal that would also address Iran’s revisionism and ballistic missile programs, which were not covered by the JCPOA.

3. In the context of the recent conflict, which of the following is a significant consequence of Iran's actions? 1. Effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, leading to a global energy shock. 2. Launching of retaliatory strikes targeting U.S. military facilities and energy infrastructure in Gulf states. 3. Appointment of Mojtaba Khamenei as the new Supreme Leader of Iran after the death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Select the correct answer using the code given below:

  • A.1 and 2 only
  • B.2 and 3 only
  • C.1 and 3 only
  • D.1, 2 and 3
Show Answer

Answer: D

Statement 1 is CORRECT: Iran's effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz has caused a global energy shock, prompting the International Energy Agency to release four hundred million barrels from its strategic reserve. Statement 2 is CORRECT: Iran retaliated by targeting U.S. military facilities, as well as energy and civilian infrastructure in the Gulf states. Statement 3 is CORRECT: Following the killing of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on day one of the US-Israeli air strikes, his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, was appointed to succeed him on March 8.

4. Regarding Israel's nuclear deterrence posture, experts suggest that a shift from 'deliberate nuclear ambiguity' to 'selective nuclear disclosure' could be beneficial. Which of the following best explains the rationale behind this suggestion? 1. To strengthen Israel's nuclear deterrent by making its retaliatory capacity and resolve more recognizable to adversaries. 2. To align with the Abraham Accords by openly declaring its nuclear capabilities to Sunni Arab states. 3. To reduce the risk of a 'symmetrical nuclear war' by demonstrating superior nuclear strength. Select the correct answer using the code given below:

  • A.1 only
  • B.2 and 3 only
  • C.1 and 3 only
  • D.1, 2 and 3
Show Answer

Answer: A

Statement 1 is CORRECT: Experts suggest that an unmodified continuance of total nuclear ambiguity could cause a newly-nuclear or still-nuclearizing enemy state (like Iran) to underestimate Israel’s retaliatory capacity or decisional resolve. Therefore, a 'selective nuclear disclosure' could strengthen deterrence by making Israel's capabilities and intentions more recognizable to adversaries, persuading them not to strike first. Statement 2 is INCORRECT: The Abraham Accords are not seen as tangibly improving Israel's nuclear threat, and the rationale for selective disclosure is primarily about deterrence against adversaries, not alignment with Sunni Arab states through open declaration of nuclear capabilities. Statement 3 is INCORRECT: The goal of selective disclosure is to enhance deterrence and avoid war, not necessarily to reduce the risk of a 'symmetrical nuclear war' by demonstrating superior strength. A symmetrical nuclear war implies both sides having nuclear weapons, and the harms could be irremediable regardless of who is 'stronger'. The primary aim is credible deterrence to prevent any nuclear exchange.

Source Articles

AM

About the Author

Anshul Mann

Geopolitics & International Affairs Analyst

Anshul Mann writes about International Relations at GKSolver, breaking down complex developments into clear, exam-relevant analysis.

View all articles →